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I don’t doubt you. However, never underestimate how quick people tend to forget, especially when they are on the outside and not directly impacted. Travellers to HK won’t even notice.
Stallone
You’re probably right, perhaps even much smaller than that. However, someone will need to fill the void of a major increase in air travel to and from HK. Be it CX, other HK airlines or even just mainly foreign carriers. If it’s not CX that will need that many pilots, someone else will. The point being, globally, airline crew numbers will inevitably need to return to pre covid levels. Which airlines will be prepared with fully trained crew is another matter.