ATC Watcher Here is the data:
From google:
Currently represented in the State Duma- United Russia (340)
- Communist Party (42)
- Liberal Democratic Party (40)
- A Just Russia (23)
- Civic Platform (1)
No Navalny there.
The last regional elections were in 2020 and the opposition parties made some gains against the main party in Russia.
Of note is "
Opposition leader Alexei Navalny called on opposition voters to use "Smart Voting" by voting for candidates most likely to win against United Russia." Which worked, as several seats were won by these independents. It is now difficult to asses his actual support percentage, based on the 2020 election results, 3 independents became governors. As far as I can tell, he was not running for anything in that election, I may be wrong, I did not see his name anywhere as a candidate.
What will be telling are the upcoming elections.
Numbers at protests:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Russian_protests
Try and figure out the actual numbers present after reading the wiki!
In Krasnodar, 5,000–7,000 Krasnodar out of a population: 932629 (wikipedia), so less than 1% This is in my region, that is why I mention it.
I will also mention that his labeling a World War 2 veteran, a traitor, has cost him support. No matter who they support politically, people respect the veterans here.
As to western MSM, it is hyped and inflated, but this is not a new tactic.
I hope I have managed to answer your question.