Originally Posted by
dr dre
Could have used a mask, could have been in an empty part of the train, could have coughed/sneezed into the elbow, could have not been shedding at that time.....
Lineage-specific growth of SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 during the English national lockdown
Covid-19: New variant raises R number by up to 0.7
Single clusters are rarely good to form conclusions from. We know that if strain B1.1.7 gets into the community it does spread more than previous dominant strains. This is seen in nations which have had large outbreak of it.
Take Ireland for example. For the most part they were doing a good job with the pandemic. That all changed with the new mutation becoming the dominant variant. Now their health system is beginning to reach capacity.
Try Botswana almost same number of cases as Australia - far fewer deaths and 1 10th the population.
New mutation to date is nothing outside both UK and South Africa (note Botswana is next door to south African strain).
If you think both the South African and UK variants are not in Botswana - I quote the Castle.
All the links and stuff still mean nothing look at Sweden originally the great model - then not. then we are still not sure (but certainly not a great model) they may end up not too bad.
What does seem to work (in affected state) is a hard fast large lock down - in Australia. That has worked in a number of states with the outbreaks. TAS, QLD and SA spring to mind.