Originally Posted by
krismiler
July is 6 months away and vaccination is expected to start in February. A well run campaign could have sufficient numbers of people protected to allow a limited opening up with restrictions and conditions in place. A vaccination certificate and negative test result might suffice for inbound travellers, and could be a requirement for departing the country.
Borders are unlikely to be thrown open on 1 July but there could be an easing of the noose.
“Start” in February is the key word. Pretty sure the Aus Govt plan has the vast majority vaccinated by the end of October at the earliest.
Israel currently has the fastest rollout of anywhere and they can only do 1 million in 12 weeks.
Given the highly conservative choices taken by the state governments at least (not sure the Feds have the same view), I’d say July has ZERO chance of QF doing any international flights. Even at Christmas time my pessimistic view has a 50/50 chance 14 day quarantine will still be in place for a large number of arrivals.