Originally Posted by
unexplained blip
Kind of hilarious -- a pilot (I guess) who doesn't understand chance events, and decides to miscalculate a ratio by about 10^4 ---.Vic is 20K cases from around 6M ppl, that's better than one in a thousand. Anyway:
Person 1 was an early bird, got on the wrong side of the Austrian barman super-spreader. Look it up.
Person 2, stood down person from aviation, caught it via community transmission before than main Vic lockdown.
Person 3 is Mrs Person 2
It's not rare here. It has a pretty good strike rate for messing up 45-somethings and upwards, from what I can tell.
On the positive side, Person 2's antibodies are still rocking a few months later, which is a good sign for vaxxes.
Yes, I didn't bother too much with the maths and did leave a few zeros off as a result. My error, but that's not the point.
In fact, you've almost made my point for me. Your situation is a highly unusual chance event, just like your other observations about it.
I knew someone who literally died in their 20s from influenza, but I understand that it was just incredibly unlucky, just like someone mid 40s actually suffering worse than a common cold from this thing.