Originally Posted by
SWBKCB
Maybe so in "normal" times - in the current circumstances, nobody knows how the market will react over time so either term is pretty meaningless (which I think was the point of previous posts)
I agree, routes that were profitable pre-covid ought, once the virus has run it course which Johnson reckons should be Spring next year, have a reasonable chance of making a come back. A lot will depend on which carriers are left by then, and how much they will pull back to their core, most profitable routes. And of course there's the other elephant in the room - Brexit. If there is no deal then business travel may take longer to recover, if if sterling took a hit as a result (of Brexit) foreign holidays could become rather more expensive at a time of what is likely to be (due to Covid) a period of high unemployment and continued recession.
Regional airports may take a long time to recover, perhaps 5 years. The commercial airline and travel industries have probably never experienced such uncertainty for decades, if ever at all.