Originally Posted by
Barling Magna
Well thanks for your reasoned comments Racedo.
33 million cases worldwide:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
An estimated 103,600 people (95% credible interval: 85,600 to 123,400) within the community population in England had the coronavirus (COVID-19) during the most recent week, from 13 to 19 September 2020, equating to around 1 in 500 people (95% credible interval: 1 in 600 to 1 in 400).
https://tinyurl.com/y53uxcrr
As I said in the post you responded to, it's important that we are fully aware of the risks. The above statistics are from the UK government and reasonably reliable. The worldometers statistics are more questionable, but the WHO gives 32.4 million cases so that gives an idea of the ball park figure.
Expressflight has stated the impact of a risk averse approach. Air travel will only recover when a reliable vaccine is freely available.
UK Govt stats are from whom exactly ?
ONS stats state up to end of July that deaths where Covid was mentioned on death cert were in excess of 50,000 for England and Wales but strangely enough reported deaths including Scotland and NI are 41,970 so assumme by Wednesday its 42,100 so ONS likely stating in excess of 60,000 now. So now we have 2 different branches of Govt with 2 different sets of numbers. So should I believe ONS or PHE ? Just curious.
Aviation in Uk is dead until 2024/25 when it will be back at 2019 levels. As for vaccine well just think this week has seen the death of a Newspaper reporter who chased down Thalidomide company to look after survivors. A vaccine may protect you against Covid-19 V1 but be useless against V6. Personally will avoid the vaccines because I have zero trust in Govt.