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Old 13th Sep 2020, 13:06
  #1588 (permalink)  
slats11
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: sydney
Age: 60
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Is Victoria a real epidemic, or just a casedemic.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?feature=...vFhIFzaac#menu

40 minutes but worth a look.
Argues that 20% of population are susceptible to COVID, and 80% have a degree of immunity from previous CV with enough cross-reactivity.
Also that the epidemiology curves are pretty much baked in regardless of measures like lockdowns or masks.
and that you need to look at death data. Case data is confusing because how many cases (or how many positive PCR tests you get) depends on how much testing you do.
The world has probably over-reacted to this. And this over-reaction may have been the entire point.
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