Originally Posted by
Walnut
I think we should be very concerned about the U.K. virus case position, in the last 3 days it has risen by about 40%
2days ago 1009 yesterday 1129 today 1440 We are heading the same way as France.
Even if there is no further increase that’s circa 10000 cases on a rolling 7 day measure.
I should be very interested to know how the experts calculate the 17.4 per 100000 level that they report
notwithstanding this rise the deaths are falling so is all this lockdown being overplayed
You say you would like to know how the 17.4 cases per 100,000 population is calculated. It's a figure calculated by the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control for all European countries. It's the cumulative number of daily infections per 100,000 population for a rolling 14 day period. If the UK had a constant daily infection rate of 666 over a 14 day period that would be one case per 100,000 population per day, so the 14 day cumulative number would be 14.0. If over the next fortnight the average daily new case rate is 1,332 (which could be possible given the trend) the EU figure for the UK would be 28.00. France at the moment is 34.0.