Originally Posted by
Walnut
I think we should be very concerned about the U.K. virus case position, in the last 3 days it has risen by about 40%
2days ago 1009 yesterday 1129 today 1440 We are heading the same way as France.
Even if there is no further increase that’s circa 10000 cases on a rolling 7 day measure.
I should be very interested to know how the experts calculate the 17.4 per 100000 level that they report
notwithstanding this rise the deaths are falling so is all this lockdown being overplayed
These numbers are fairly meaningless though - if you’re testing more people, you’re going to find more people. The ONS figures are far more accurate and it says that 1 in 1900 people in the U.K. have the virus right now and only 6% of the population have had it. It’s just disappointing that governments/ ECDC are using these numbers as gospel and using it to decide policy such as travel. Monaco for example has tested 90% of their population whereas most countries are struggling to test 10%. Indonesia for example has tested 7 in 1000! Testing in a lot of countries is risible.
At the peak of the peak just before Easter, around 100,000 new cases were suspected a day in the UK. Officially there was only 5-6k cases a day hence why people are seeking headlines about second waves.