It's still a ridiculous number , almost a random number plucked from the Sky , well it is a random number plucked from the Sky
As I speculated above (correctly it turned out) it was a sans Covid 19 calculation from your illustrious pilot cum "now I am a senior corporate manager" brigade
Ignoring completely the outside world , sort of "we at Qantas are retiring our 747 fleet that makes us 190 in surplus given that is the company
of the 747 fleet". Bet you the figure wasn't from the real managers at QF ie: AJ , Tino , head of HR/Legal etc but from flight ops management
They forgot to include the effects of shutdown of international air travel , 10m plus infected , severe global recession , no vaccine , change in business travel etc etc
So if you have 1500 LH pilots at an airline and there is no international flying even planned for the next year & now even your own flight ops guys are mentioning nothing until 2024 , what is your surplus ?
How do you model that ?
Anyone want to have a got at deriving an equation ?