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Old 28th Jul 2020, 21:16
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infrequentflyer789
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
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Originally Posted by Time Traveller
... yet another clumsy and unpredictable quarantine by the UK government, instead of more logical arrival test and tracing.
Incubation is up to 7 days before symptoms, infectious 1-2 days before that. PCR swab test has very high false negative rate if used too early, even testing at 8 days after exposure has 20% false negative rate. For one week trips (mean exposure time around 4 days before arrival in uk) you will miss well over half of holiday-acquired cases, even if you test everyone. A one week quarantine (if -ve) with test at one week will catch maybe over 80%, and may be a logical compromise, but test-on-arrival is far less logical than quarantine.

See e.g. https://www.itnonline.com/content/co...used-too-early for the testing science.
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