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Old 10th Jul 2020, 09:43
  #251 (permalink)  
caaardiff
 
Join Date: Nov 2005
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There does appear to be a hell of a lot of "tidying up" needed in the UK domestic market. Flybe became too big and ambitious, riddled itself with debt and expensive leases on aircraft they didn't really need to have, but did build up a good core network and a few hubs that had they got it right from the start, with the correct level of frequency could have led to them still being around.

Loganair, sister of bmi Regional, that started to grow through the ashes of bmi, and has now had to act rapidly to fill the gaps left with Flybe where it see's itself fitting in, with a focus on Scotland but has a fleet of over 5 different types.

Eastern Airways, always living in the shadow of Flybe, not really bothered by expansion but surprisingly always seemed to survive, focusing on the North East but now moving further South with SOU base, with previously unhappy crews and an ageing fleet of aircraft, that's now doing the same as Loganair by filling in the gaps left by Flybe, but also seems to be expanding fast and duplicating routes of other carriers. No-one really knows what their fleet plans are, with 6 types in the fleet or due to join (if the E90's are to be included)

Then you have Blue Islands, again never really bothered by expansion, always living in Flybes shadow, supporting Jersey well, but in a start stop battle with Aurginy. Rumours previously of it's owner wanting to sell up or shut it down, but gradually improving the fleet with ATR 72's.

Domestic travel is likely to be very different for some time and i can't see all 3 surviving the next few years. Blue Islands has always been small and aside from the new EXT and SOU routes, is still relatively the same, but with the bonus of now not having to compete with Flybe to the islands. They have a single fleet that isn't fully utilised and a good brand and with the correct direction i can see them coming out of the downturn slightly bigger and better off.

If any of these has a cost base lower the Flybe, with no debt to worry about, could the long term outcome be many of the previous Flybe routes actually being profitable?
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