Agreed Sunfish, let the 1% die would result in a spike of probably close to 10% higher deaths than usual due to all other problems unable to be treated due to no hospital capacity. So that 250000 could turn into one or 2 million deaths over an un specified period depending on the time frame of COVID patients presenting, probably a couple of years.
However on the flip side stop start lockdowns will destroy people’s livelihood and increase deaths due to other causes too. This virus will keep doing this and outbreak constantly.... at some point I think a tactic of protecting the vulnerable and letting it run through the general population may be the only option in the future, Vaccine? Haha right, no effective one will ever appear, this virus is here for good.
As for international flying if we persist with lockdowns after each outbreak (which are going to occur again and again) forget 1 year, it could stretch out to 3-5 years until meaningful travel becomes an option.