Originally Posted by
wrench1
FYI: the 18-24 month time frame is usually for a Probable Cause report. A Factual report, which has not been released for this accident, is usually released a week to 6 months after the Docket is opened to the public depending on the amount and complexity of the investigative results. Once a Factual is released you can then monitor the "completion" database below for possible Probable Cause report release date:
https://www.ntsb.gov/_layouts/ntsb.a...InvestRel.aspx
Not even close my friend. A quick inquiry for the last 18 months in the U.S. shows 32 fatal RW accidents. Among those there are 30 preliminaries, 1 factual (issued 14 months after the accident), and one final (issued 15 months after the accident).