Originally Posted by
hid3
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..........IMHO it will take minimum 5 years to recover before the normal hiring of low-hour pilots will resume...
I suspect five years is somewhat pessimistic notwithstanding the announcements of downsizing of airlines.
The recovery process will really commence once a vaccine becomes available, which provided there are no hiccups, should be by the end of 2020. The Oxford teams work looks promising.
Confidence will be a key aspect to getting people flying again. A much clearer picture will emerge in 12 months time as to when normality or something close to it will occur. In the meantime 2023.