Either alternative will involve loads of collateral damage at this stage. It's an almost impossible balance between contagion, social unrest, mass unemployment with even greater unrest, lack of means to pick up whatever's left of the economy by the time the dreaded lurgy is over and whatnot else. So, the least damaging scenario seems to be to try and put together some semblance of normality by July. Whoever's taking reasonable care of themselves and their nearest and dearest now will be doing the same in a month's time. Whoever's not will find a way to do their own thing even under a strict lockdown. Were all those mass gatherings totally legal and appropriate under the circumstances? I bet not, but that didn't stop the crowds from attending. So, there's hardly any point in doing further damage by restrictions which can no longer be imposed in a non-forceful manner.