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Old 17th Apr 2020, 21:44
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JayHobbes
 
Join Date: Apr 2020
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Take-away

Originally Posted by homonculus
I think we should distinguish between restrictions within a country and restrictions between countries

Restrictions within a country are, in democracies, up to the government and its charter with the people. There is indeed a balance between death and the economy

However restrictions between countries in the main only effect aviation and tourism. Goods and livestock can be imported and exported but the borders closed to humans. The economic effect would be limited and IMHO far less than the damage from a second, third or fourth wave. A vaccine is now possible at the end of 2020 and I just dont see the justification with killing the same number of citizens again.
I think the main takeaway is that international travel restrictions have limited benefits once community transmission is wide-ranging (the major increase in risk is by increasing transmission between pax and staff during travel, which can be mitigated by measures the author touched on, aside from understanding that the same risks are associated with domestic travel). Complete travel shutdowns will not prevent second, third or other waves...
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