Originally Posted by
n5296s
Even the mortality rate for over-80s overlooks the fact that for every "confirmed" case there are probably 50 or more that never come to the attention of the authorities because people are either asymptomatic or follow current UK advice, take an aspirin and stay home.
I'm sorry, but that furphy is losing its legs. Two recent reports greatly discount the likelihood of lots of unreported cases generating the current levels of hospitalisation and death, and also getting every country well along the road to herd immunity. It would be rather nice if it was true, but it's increasingly clear that it isn't.
The reports are of virus levels found in sewage in the Netherlands in recent months, and antibody testing of an entire well-connected community in Colorado. More details and consequences discussed here:
https://webcentre.co.nz/pandemic
For argument's sake you can have two to one if you like, perhaps even four to one, because testing numbers are so low, especially in the UK. You definitely can't have 50 to one.