I can assure you that 8,000 for NSW is nowhere near what is being planned by at least one major hospital where I have a close relative working in ICU. They had a meeting about a week ago and were told the modelling is saying to prepare for at least 135,000 Australia wide. That would equate to about 40,000 for NSW.
Working in ICU, I completely agree.
But 8,000 is the figure the government ran in the SMH, so I used that.
If you assume 8 million in NSW
x 50% infected
x 1-2% fatality rate
That = 40,000 to 80,000 deaths The vast majority over 60, and the majority over 70, and very few under 30.
Which makes 3,000 in all of China even harder to explain.
It is a very strange world.