When it all comes to an end, as it surely will, there'll be aircraft in the hands of leasing companies with nothing to do, and empty hotels with no forward bookings.
Who will want the exisitng big operators - who they know, and who have a track record - to survive, so will do all they can to make that happen. Seems more likely than a ground zero approach. "
a myriad small independent tour operators chartering aircraft and seats off a new generation of smaller charter and scheduled airlines?" - chaos. Scale and experience will be needed.