PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - Who will survive this and be here in 6 months ?
Old 13th Mar 2020, 15:05
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Just a spotter
 
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Originally Posted by Uplinker
According to the CDC, 3,000 people have died from the Covid19 virus but 20,000 people have died from Flu in the current season.

According to a virologist on the radio yesterday: 1/5 of people exposed will catch Covid19. Only 1/5 of those will display symptoms. So that's 4% of people who have been exposed, by my maths, or 1 in 25. Of those, most will just have a fever and a dry cough.

Time to stop panicking.

Wash your hands - with water and soap - more than usual and take multi vitamins and minerals.
Or ... the UK's NHS is expecting 1/5 (20%) of the population to become infected. The WHO is reporting global mortality rates amongst infected individuals to be 3.4% (The Lancet has it higher at 5.7%).

For the UK alone, if the NHS & WHO numbers are correct, with a population of 66.4 million, that’s 13m infections with a mortality of over 451,000 (that's roughly the population of Cardiff, or Miami)

In the US, population 327 million, that equates to 65 million infections (equal to the entire population of the UK) and 2.2 million additional deaths (approx the population of Paris, or Houston).

Flu kills about 600,000 globally per annum.

But yes, wash your hands.

JAS

Last edited by Just a spotter; 13th Mar 2020 at 15:40.
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