Originally Posted by
derjodel
This is deceiving.
Once you are confirmed, the probability of dying is 3.4% (or whatever the number currently is), because you are now in the tested cohort, and we know the mortality rate of the tested cohort.
Here are today's stats for State of Massachusetts:
Number of positive cases - 108
Number confirmed positive - 6
Number of pending positive - 102
Number of hospitalizations - 10
Number of investigations to determine if hospitalization is required - 9
Patients not hospitalized - 89
Number of deaths - 0
Total number of people subjected to quarantine - 1,083
Number in quarantine - 445
Number completed quarantine - 638
Interesting to note that of the 108 confirmed cases, 89 resulted from a Biogen conference, 5 from travel, 8 from medical center compromise, 13 under investigation.