PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - Who will survive this and be here in 6 months ?
Old 13th March 2020 | 11:53
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b1lanc
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Joined: Mar 2015
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From: North by Northwest
Originally Posted by 733driver
I'm not one of those that say "it's just a flu". However, the mortality rate is most likely nowhere near as high as you suggest. Your numbers are only based on known infections. It is fair to assume that there are lot's more unknown infections which will bring down the mortality rate a lot. My guess based on everything I have read is to not more than 1%

Again, that is still ten times worse than the regular flu. But not as bad as you suggested.
The state I work in has declared emergency - unless you are very high risk or showing severe symptoms requiring hospitalization, you are not tested to confirm COVID - not enough test kits to go around. So likely, you are correct that the mortality rate is quite a bit lower then the numbers being spouted.
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