PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - Who will survive this and be here in 6 months ?
Old 13th Mar 2020, 11:00
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derjodel
 
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Originally Posted by Flyingmole
But unfortunately what you have failed to factor in is just how infectious Covid-19 is. With Western European countries such as Germany now saying - based on their best available scientific advice - that 70% or more of their population may get infected this year it doesn't take a maths genius to work out that in Germany this would mean a 0.5% fatality rate would result in 400,000 deaths.
0.5% is laughable. If the thing is not contained, it can be up to 10%. Look at Italy: 15k cases, 1k dead!

We need to contain this to protect healthcare capacity:
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