Originally Posted by
DaveReidUK
Hard to believe it was written nearly 50 years ago.
and boy was it a load of horlicks..................
"a 2 April 1972 article in the
New York Times describing
LTG as "an empty and misleading work ... best summarized ... as a rediscovery of the oldest maxim of computer science: Garbage In, Garbage Out". Passell found the study's simulations to be simplistic, while assigning little value to the role of technological progress in solving the problems of resource depletion, pollution, and food production. They charged that all
LTG simulations ended in collapse, predicted the imminent end of irreplaceable resources. In 1973, a group of researchers at the Science Policy Research Unit at the
University of Sussex, published
Thinking about the Future; A Critique of The Limits to Growth, published in the United States as
Models of Doom. The Sussex group examined the structure and assumptions of the MIT models. They concluded that the simulations were very sensitive to a few key assumptions and suggest that the MIT assumptions were unduly pessimistic. The Sussex scientists expressed their opinion that the MIT methodology, data, and projections were faulty and do not accurately reflect reality.
The report has been criticized by academics, economists and business people. Critics claimed that history proved the projections to be incorrect, which was specifically based on the popular belief that
The Limits to Growth predicted resource depletion and associated economic collapse by the end of the 20th century=10.8333px.
The Limits to Growth faced ridicule as early as the 1970s. Attacks were made on the methodology, the computer, the conclusions, the rhetoric and the people behind the project"