Originally Posted by
Australopithecus
On today’s data we are back to an additional 4000 cases. If yesterday’s spike is factored in, the additional case numbers average out to around 4000/day for the last ten days or so. Which is itself an oversimplification. Why would the case numbers grow linearly?
With an Ro of about 3 (latest estimate) them it will not be linear unless measures are reducing the transmission rate, which would reduce the Ro (My assumption). I suspect there are many more cases that officially recorded and thinking about it, with an Ro of 3, there must be more cases than recorded.