Originally Posted by
slats11
Its hard to work out what is happening with all the changing data.
Overall, it may be that these figures are going to converge at about 2% mortality (compared to 0.1% for a bad 'flu season, and perhaps 2.5% for the 1918 "Spanish 'flu").
The data has suggested from early on that there was a likely greater transmission into the populace than was being recorded as cases. The asymptomatic numbers at least in China appear to be multiple times the identified cases, and that would lead to an expectation that the cases that result in.fatalities is a lower percentage of all actual infections. The latest Japanese fatality falls into the high risk category of age and health for pneumonia, so doesn't give much in the way of new data. The Singapore cases would appear to be most likely to result in some information on risk factors external to the Chinese experience; Singapore is reporting that no discernible patten exists as yet on their critical cases, which is at variance to the reports ex China.
Singapore is an affluent and society, with a population of 74.3% Chinese, 13.4% Malay, 9% Indian, and 3% other races. 25% of the population is over 55 years old. Underneath the headlines of prosperity, there is a considerable disparity between the affluent and the poor in the country, but healthcare is available as is education. The details on the critical cases in Singapore will be telling if they become available.