PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - Pegasus accident in SAW; just reported
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Old 6th Feb 2020, 23:45
  #165 (permalink)  
tdracer
 
Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: Everett, WA
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Originally Posted by CurtainTwitcher
The more interesting question is the relative rate of A32x vs B737-NG runway excursions. Eyeballing, wikipedia says about 7,900 A32x deliveries vs about 7000 B737-NG, so a very large sample size for both to make valid comparisons..
Hull loss rates for the 737NG and the A320 series are virtually the same (last numbers I found, the NG rate was slightly better, but I doubt it was enough to be statistically significant). Further, we're talking over 20 years worth of data, so the numbers should be reasonably immune from 'statistical flukes'.
So if - as claimed - 737NGs are going off the end more often relative to A32x, then the A32x is crashing more often for other reasons...
I'm not a pilot, but if you land 'hot', on a wet runway with a 25 knot tailwind, and touchdown over halfway down the runway, a happy outcome is pretty unlikely regardless of what you're flying...
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