As at JAN 29 9PM EST, JHU has indicated:
1. global confirmed cases at 7783, fatalities at 170.
2. All fatalities to date are in China.
3. About 7 days ago, total confirmed cases were roughly 1000.
Not surprising that the Chinese are building dedicated hospitals at record speeds. There is a strong suggestion that the care is a major factor in the outcome. How long does it take to train ICU staff?
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1....919985v1.full
Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory. Latest research paper quote:
We further compared the characteristics of the donors and their ACE2 expressing patterns. No association was detected between the ACE2-expressing cell number and the age or smoking status of donors. Of note, the 2 male donors have a higher ACE2-expressing cell ratio than all other 6 female donors (1.66% vs. 0.41% of all cells, P value=0.07, Mann Whitney Test). In addition, the distribution of ACE2 is also more widespread in male donors than females: at least 5 different types of cells in male lung express this receptor, while only 2~4 types of cells in female lung express the receptor. This result is highly consistent with the epidemic investigation showing that most of the confirmed 2019-nCov infected patients were men (30 vs. 11, by Jan 2, 2020).
We also noticed that the only Asian donor (male) has a much higher ACE2-expressing cell ratio than white and African American donors (2.50% vs. 0.47% of all cells). This might explain the observation that the new Coronavirus pandemic and previous SARS-Cov pandemic are concentrated in the Asian area.
That is sober reading, and appears in line with the statistical spread to date.