Originally Posted by
ScepticalOptomist
How do we explain no deaths outside of China due to this strain?
Because, I think:
1. the travellers were asymptomatic until after arrival
2. the travellers that became ill did not generally fit into the age group most at risk
3. the travellers that became ill were all beneficiaries of unburdened, well equipped and aroused health care
4. the best guess mortality rate of 3% suggests that the total ex-Sino population of sufferers might only have two deaths total
5. It’s early days yet.
The infection and mortality rate of this new disease are very similar to the Spanish flu of 1918. I think that the eventual outcome will be better owing to a faster vaccine development, but for the next six months or so I am pretty worried.