PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - How much must the airlines be praying for this?
Old 28th Jan 2020, 02:26
  #25 (permalink)  
Australopithecus
 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: Weltschmerz-By-The-Sea, Queensland, Australia
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Unlike SARS, this corona virus is transmitted without evident symptoms, so even a well-intentioned sufferer who might self-quarantine will be passing on the virus unknowingly. The current estimates for the reproduction rate go past 3.0, which is very bad. I read today that medical statistical experts suggest the current true infections could be over 20,000 which may be good news for the fatality rate, or it may be the opposite. I expect it will take another week or so to more fully grasp the CFR, and maybe only in hindsight.

I imagine that things must be getting desperate in Wuhan right now with the bans on travel, personal automobiles etc, and the shortage of medical supplies, food etc.

on edit: Wikipedia already has a pretty informative topic on this virus for the curious
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