PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - How much must the airlines be praying for this?
Old 28th Jan 2020, 00:07
  #23 (permalink)  
Australopithecus
 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: Weltschmerz-By-The-Sea, Queensland, Australia
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Originally Posted by patty50
Think of all that university revenue we’d miss out on and sh1tbox apartments that would go unsold.

Scomo is from the tourism world so he’d prefer to see 100k dead boomers than dent our visitor numbers.

The rest of the world is fortunate China is taking its own measures to mitigate the spread.
The measures that China are taking are too late. Five million people left Wuhan before the lockdown, and the virus is now out in the wild. It appears that the fatalities are running several days behind reported onset, so its difficult to get an accurate CFR. The early figures show that of those cases hospitalised, around 25% died. Give or take. As Rated De noted, the Chinese often play games with cause of death citations. So an nCoV death in a person with a chronic heart problem gets listed as a heart attack, favourably skewing the numbers.

Authorities seem to trying to prevent mass panic, and that impulse might just allow the pandemic to worsen. The Chinese authorities seem to be panicking in the background as evidenced by their wartime effort in building new hospitals.

Keeping bats and snakes and people in close proximity removes all the ecological barriers to cross-species recombinant viral mutation. That practice has long been predicted to be an infection source and should be permanently banned.

Sorry to say, but the borders should be closed to all flights from China and to all passengers who lately visited China. By now its probably too late for that though.

As it stands today, reported cases are increasing by approximately 50% per day. By mid Feb that trend reaches 7 million cases and deaths, while a lagging number, extrapolate out to the twilight zone.

Last edited by Australopithecus; 28th Jan 2020 at 01:32. Reason: Adopted a more measured tone
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