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Old 31st Dec 2019, 10:05
  #6666 (permalink)  
Northern Monkey
 
Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: London
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Originally Posted by Gingerbread Man
I appreciate no one has a crystal ball, but is it likely that BA will continue to recruit in the numbers they have done for the last five years? I can think of reasons why recruitment would increase in the way it has done (retirements, leavers, part time, expansion), but have trouble expecting that any of those would lead to a sustained intake of ~200 DEPs per year.

I’ve probably not considered something obvious, and I don’t have access to the numbers for this stuff, but there seems to be quite a lot of potential for new joiners to sit close to the bottom of the list for a long time.
Broadly speaking over the next decade the number of retirements and part time requests are likely to drive substantial recruitment. Add to that the circa 1% of medical retirements each year and those leaving from the bottom of the list for myriad reasons and I can't see recruitment slowing down that much. There may be blips in line with the economic atmosphere of course.
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