Originally Posted by
edmundronald
indeed. I am not a physics guy. So i just say the probability of an MCAS failure is p; probability of flight without failure is (1-p).
So, probability of n flights without failure (1-p)**n.
This statistic allows us ro estimate how long MCAS us going to take before it kills someone.
Maybe pilots would profit from knowing Bernouilli’s OTHER works
Edmund
Edmund, I posted this earlier.
Source:
Boeing Statistical Summary of Commercial Jet Airplane Accidents Worldwide Operations | 1959 – 2017
Another source, Airsafe.com has compiled 737-MAX departures at 0.65 million, and quotes a hull loss rate of 3.08 per million departures.
source:
Airsafe.com Plane crash rates by model