Originally Posted by
pittsspecialguy
my question is - what does everyone think about 2040-2060 and on. Might be a strange question but I am really interested in everyone’s predictions...thanks!
That’s 30-50 years away.
30-50 years ago (70’s-90’s) airline transport was basically mostly shorthaul twin engined narrow bodied with two turbofan engines slung under swept back wings aircraft operated by two crew flying at 80% of the speed of sound doing sectors between 1-4 hours, and some wide bodied aircraft with 3-4 crew doing sectors of 8-12 hours.
Today? Mostly the same with some refinements and efficiency gains.
So not much in the way of evolutionary change.
Going down to 1 or less crew would requirement trillions of dollars spent on R&D and implementation of not only what would need to be fully autonomous aircraft but also ground infrastructure and communications links. No government in the world will do that just so some airlines can make a 1% savings on their labour costs.
The future of 2 warm bodies at the front end of an airborne craft is pretty secure for at least your child’s lifetime.
Originally Posted by
hans brinker
Somewhat in the same spot. Both of us not wanting to push for it because of the uncertain nature.
The uncertain nature is really for all employment. A lot of people, businesspeople, politicians, scientists, economists etc are saying the advances in AI and automation that will occur over the next few decades will be so immense and exponential that there will be an employment crisis. There simply won’t be nearly enough jobs to go around for all those who are willing and able to work. The nature of employment overall will change dramatically and a lot of societal norms will change.