Lordflasheart
In my honest opinion the the answer to Q1 is 'No'. I suspect that in the case of the XX204 accident Cpl Bayliss would not have known there was a problem until he was 'scorched' by the flames from the pilot's seat rocket pack as he left the aircraft. That is why it is important for the rear seat to go first.
Again, in my honest opinion, the answer to Q2 is 'Yes'. Cpl Bayliss would have gone first.
I am sure that the coroner, who will apply the 'balance of probability' test, will come to the same conclusions.
This case has the same sickening theme, regarding risk assessment/management, as the 2012 Tornado accident. In that case the root cause was not the lack of CWS but the fact that the ODH signed off to say the risk was ALARP without it. Now we have a ODH signing off to say ALL risks are ALARP, even though the emergency egress system was connected 'arse about face' for the task in hand. At lease the command ejection system in the Tornado had Front/Rear/Both options.
DV