Originally Posted by
Lead Balloon
Please put a probability number at the end of this sentence:
The probabilities of an aircraft inbound to or outbound from Williamtown colliding with an aircraft that is identified by and in contact with ATC and tracking at 500’ over water adjacent to Stockton Beach off the extended centreline of runway 12 are [enough to make airlines baulk at the idea of a V1 style arrangement apparently?].
BTW: How confident are you that Romeo 578B - i.e. outside the 12nm arc from Willytown - was active at the time UVC arrived in the vicinity of Anna Bay?
You know you could just check the NOTAMs to see its active everyday right? - 100%