If they're just going to wind it up in 6 months, why bother agreeing at all (and then having to pay out all the back pay at significant cost). Easier to just drag it out, a triviality.
Realistically a jq agreement is probably 18 months to 2 years away. If tiger is still around by then it mutes that argument.
As to your 3 groups, people talk about being in position 3. I hope they are really in position 2 but history suggests to me we'll get position 1 when it starts to require resolve.