Old 12th Apr 2019, 15:44
  #1815 (permalink)  
Join Date: Mar 2018
Location: Central UK
Posts: 248
Originally Posted by rlsbutler View Post
That said there can be no doubt that risks to a ferry are increased just by the facts that (1) the pilot is likely to be unfamiliar with the aircraft (2) the ATC and Met environments are likely to be either less responsive or simply non-existent en-route than in the UK and (3) the terrain is likely to offer no escape over a large part of many routes in the event of a failure that could be managed in the UK. Each of those “likely” considerations could be (rather sketchily) quantified so that, while an ordinary GA flight might offer say 1-in-10000 mortal risk to GBS’s airline captain, a trans-Atlantic ferry flight might offer him an historic risk of perhaps 1-in-200 – both ratios being shamelessly plucked from the sky. A Cessna 152 engine failure is intrinsically survivable – but not in mid-Atlantic.
Thus ferry pilots are likely to be more accepting of higher risks than most other parts of the piloting community.

Where GBS's good sense runs out is assuming one can transfer this level of risk acceptance to their airline flying which is of course a wild and unsupportable assumption - and not one that I made any allusion to whatsoever.
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