You guys crack me up.
Lets run some “whole” numbers shall we.
call the fleet size “50”. For optimism sake we will say they grow the fleet at 3% (which is more likely as shown with current fleet growth numbers).
3% Growth (Realistic)
10 years = 67 aircraft = 75 commands
15 years = 78 aircraft = 140 commands
6% Growth (Very Optimistic)
10 years = 90 aircraft = 200 commands
15 years = 120 aircraft = 350 commands
Now lets take into account retirements = 50 pilots over the next 10 years in JQ.
So in 10 years that will be 125 to 250 commands.
last Sydney command position 700.... (~70 FO’s eligible for commands above the 700 line)
corrected commands 55-180 commands from 700 onwards in 10 years
Seniority numbers 791 to 976 will have commands by 2029 from today.
791, time to command 18 years time to command in a realistic environment with no downsizing.
976, time to command 12 years in an extremely good optimistic environment.