Like any lottery... "you have to be in it, to win it!".
Having said that, I doubt anyone would be able to give you a satisfactory answer of what the odds actually are... there are way too many variables at play (most of which are not calculable):
- How many new licence holders entering the market?
- How many job vacancies being posted?
- How many unemployed licence holders getting jobs?
- How many unemployed licence holders giving up and no longer pursing a career in aviation?
- How many unemployed licence holders no longer being eligible (due lack of currency etc)?
Additionally... 24-30 months is a looooooong time in aviation (and worldwide finance/economics/politics)... who knows what will be happening then?
It sounds like you're going into this with your eyes wide open... and you accept that the odds are not "high". That should serve you well. Best of luck to you.