There are probably 4000-5000 qualified and looking with ~1000 more every year (by some accounts only half of these are 'employable'). At present there are probably ~400-500 seats/yr for low hours so if you're 'employable' then you've perhaps got a 1 in 10 chance but a lot of your luck will be skewed by industry contacts etc. In 2-3 years I'd guess we'll be in a dip and you'll have very little chance at all for the following 5-7 years.