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Old 26th Jan 2019, 08:58
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Warren Peace
 
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: UK
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I have watched this unfold for years, and quietly considered where it is going.

I think now there may be light at the end of the tunnel.

When you look at the relative serviceability rates (even allowing for complex capabilities) of civil / military airframes, the poor value is explained by the lack of commercial drivers in the process. The military client has had a bottomless pit of money to spend and a compulsory task to fulfill. That's why manufacturers can charge what they like for kit that is often unreliable and short lived with escalating prices all through development and production.

In the civil world, reputation is more important due to a larger number of potential suppliers, and people expect to get more than a few thousand hours out of a multi million dollar/pound purchase.

Bad as it seems for training and Pilot output, the business forces involved here might well drive down prices and improve the quality. Not overnight of course, as most of the first and second wave will be using ex mil products, but in time, if this new industry really takes off (groan) then higher standards will be demanded in order to make the return on investment that will be expected.
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