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Old 6th Jan 2019, 09:04
  #2439 (permalink)  
Effluent Man
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Southwold
Age: 67
Posts: 58
Originally Posted by Fareastdriver View Post
The Populus poll (4,700) taken on the 22nd June 2016 gave a split between Remain and Leave as 55/45.
If you look at the whole run of polls you will see that the Populous one was an outlier. Almost all the others were within the normally accepted range of + or - 3% . There is another factor to consider and that is the generally accepted "Reluctant Tory" effect. Leave supporters were Tory plus and as such probably far more likely to refuse to answer. This poll was of 25,000 people whilst the others were far smaller samples. I can see why Leave fear a rerun.
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