Originally Posted by
Dick Smith
I make no such blind claim.
Look at the heading to this thread.
Why not answer the reasonable question?
The question is meaningless. Statistical mathematics can’t answer “when?” It can only give probabilities and the probabilities don’t change based on whether something has or hasn’t occurred. The chance of a coin toss coming up heads is 50%, however if you happen to toss 100 tails in a row your chances of the next toss being heads is still 50%. It hasn’t become “due”, there is no “time when heads is going to appear”. Likewise there is no time when “a twin is going to end up in the drink?”
Stop being emotive, provocative, etc. Talk plainly, state what you mean, don’t ask meaningless questions. Debate with integrity. Once you start doing that, a lot more people will give you the time of day here. And for gods sake let go of this fixation you have with anonymity on this website. Some of us like to have some sort of privacy and it has absolutely nothing to do with the value of our opinions.