Originally Posted by
KRUSTY 34
I know this is ”Tech Log”, but the vast discussions surrounding the almost mind bending set of variables, only serves (IMHO) to muddy the waters as to the ultimate cause of this tragedy.
The waters were already muddied before we started this discussion
. We can take it as read that this isn't one of those very rare accidents that turn out to have a single, straightforward "ultimate cause".
I would expect, when the investigation report finally appears, that there will be both multiple factors listed under "probable cause" and several other "contributory factors" (that's NTSB-speak, but most AIBs make a similar distinction).
One finding I don't expect to see is that the engineer replacing the AoA probe either sawed off the locating pin or hammered it through the skin of the 737.