Thanks for the link Zeffy ; it presents a credible analysis.
There could be several quibbles in the details; based on the aircraft length the ‘estimated’ distance into EMAS is reasonable, as would be the speed. However the aircraft stopped ~> 50m beyond the threshold (thus faster at runway exit), and the attention getting safety point is that the wall is ~ 80m beyond the threshold - a distance margin equivalent of ‘third’ to ‘home base’ - so no sliding into ‘the wall’ !
The underlying point is that these types of incident should not occur, (the second EMAS at BUR) which indicates an accumulation of several contributing factors, perhaps something common to BUR.