Might be worth you reading through the thread, Andrewr.
Avmed asked what is the risk of incapacitation. The specialist said he doesn't meet the class 1 medical standard - which implies there is some risk of incapacitation but doesn't quantify it.
If you refer to earlier posts in this thread, you will see that specialist’s letter said, among other things:
My professional opinion is that I do not consider you a risk of incapacitation now that the lesion has been treated.
Is that not a statement of the risk of incapacitation? That was before the dynamic CTA and then DSA confirming ongoing success of the procedure.
But let’s ignore that for the time being.
The AATs decision on the question whether to ‘stay’ the decision to suspend my certificate said, among things (with my bolding):
... CASA has pointed out that Dr Mews has said that Mr McKenzie would not meet the standard for a class 1 licence. That is so, but it is not relevant to whether he meets a class 2 standard. It is to be expected that there will be a subset of class 2 licence holders who would not meet the class 1 standard.
The above is, of course, a selective quotation and emphasis. Kinda like what CASA does.
I would be careful going down that track. The Austroads medical standards say for vascular malformations of the brain treated surgically a person should not drive for 6 months - private or 12 months - commercial. Advisory only, but if I understand your description of your condition, Austroads do in fact say you should not drive.
Gosh, Andrew. Are my specialists incompetent? None of them has advised that I should neither drive nor fly.
The fact that you, too, may have received the Avmed ‘treatment’ is not evidence that it’s necessary.
And I have to say that the concept of Avmed expressing opinions about objective risks of sudden incapacity is laughable. I’m sure Avmed does it, but the chances of those opinions being ballpark accurate are vanishingly small.