"it does exactly that on a regular basis"
tells me without a doubt that the weather is predictable...as predictable as its going to be ****ty, therefore these guys did not get "caught" in a sudden change of weather. They got caught pushing the limits.
whatever secret squirrel club stuff you have going on with them that cant be spoken about, otherwise kittens are killed, makes me laugh at the whole presumptuous story that these guys were suddenly caught off guard